The bond market isn’t always right, and the equity market story has some appeal, but there is one heavyweight indicator on the side of the bond market – the inverted yield curve. This has predicted every U.S. recession over the past 50 years. The inversion needs to be sustained for a couple of months to provide a strong signal, but it makes.

We expect economic growth in this cycle to peak and anticipate a. In our 2019 Bond Market Outlook we discuss our view that the 10-year Treasury bond yield may have peaked around the 3.25. thus we expect that credit conditions for most muni issuers should continue to remain strong this year

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The bond market is therefore an essential tool to finance the transition to a low-carbon economy. The growing green bond market will continue to be an important part of this transition but it is not the whole picture – there are a range of unlabelled climate investment opportunities in the bond market which are captured ; in this report.

Bond traders unimpressed by poll-induced market frenzy, go by economic fundamentals MUMBAI: A sense of political optimism may be driving the equity markets, but the government bond market isn’t all that enthused, going purely by economic fundamentals rather than any kind of exuberance. Instead, bond traders are focusing on the new government’s.

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Guy Debelle: The Australian bond market Address by Mr Guy Debelle, Assistant Governor (Financial Markets) of the Reserve Bank of Australia, to the Economic Society of Australia, Canberra, 15 April 2014. * * * I would like to thank Ivailo Arsov, Mathew Brooks and Karl Stacey for their assistance in preparing this speech.

The bond market has flashed worrying. due to the weakening yet still decent U.S. economic growth. "U.S. economic growth, although slowing, remains above trend. household balance sheets and the.

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As a result, bonds actually do have a fairly strong track record as a predictor of economic conditions, and for that reason, they are often used by economists as a leading indicator. If nothing else, the bond market can provide a gauge of the consensus expectation regarding the economy at any given point – even if that expectation sometimes.